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Many millionaires including myself believe that we owe a large part of our fortunes, down to recessions. That’s because recessions press the reset button, levelling the playing field, and it looks like it’s happening again…
PART 1: PREDICTING THE RESET
The consumer price index, which is the price of an average basket of everyday goods and services purchased by households, has found inflation to be at 8.6% in the US. This is a new 40 year high, a lot of this being due to food and fuel price increases.
But not to worry as the FED is here to save us from this dreaded inflation by hiking its benchmark interest rate by 0.75 percentage points, the biggest increase since 1994. When interest rates rise, the cost of borrowing money becomes more expensive.
To say the economy is looking stormy is an understatement and the new york FED model seems to agree with me, stating the probability of a soft landing is only about 10%.
This would indicate a marked economic decrease after rapid growth which often leads to a recession, or as I like to call it, a reset!
So a reset is most likely coming, but what does this actually mean and how can you benefit?
PART 2: UNDERSTANDING THE RESET
Investment advisors aren’t allowed to say this as it can come across as misleading however, Past performance is a very strong indicator of future results. Let me explain…
If a particular investment has done poorly in recent times compared to it’s history, then it could be due for a boom in the future, this is in order for it to catch up to where its long-term average return is expected to be.
Therefore the same also applies if an investment has done incredibly well compared with it’s average, increasing the likelihood that it will have a crash to bring it back to normal levels.
Now this isn’t without exceptions, and sometimes that period of adjustment happens when you least expect it, but adjust it will. This is exactly what a ‘RESET’ is!
PART 3: BENEFIT FROM THE RESET
There are three very distinct trains of thought when it comes to benefiting, however the one thing they all share in common is having an emergency fund of 3-5 months of living expenses, that you never touch unless absolutely necessary.
The first is to hold all your money in cash until the markets start to improve and we see a bounce back.
The second is to YOLO all your money into the markets now, while everything is cheaper than it was in the previous years. The problem with this is that if the reset is greater than expected, and the markets keep falling then it could take years to recoup your investment.
The third is to slowly invest a little bit each week, in order to buy all the way down.
I’m not going to tell you that any of these strategies are incorrect, as depending on your individual circumstances one could make more sense than the other.
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CONTACT:
For business inquires only, please use this email: mark@marktilbury.com
*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Mark Tilbury will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. The Info in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available.